When I saw that the Reading Rainbow Kickstarter hit $1 million in less than a day

When I saw that the Reading Rainbow Kickstarter hit $1 million in less than a day

Craps against the high-rolling dark siders

Survivorship Bias

The Misconception: You should focus on the successful if you wish to become successful. The Truth: When failure becomes invisible, the difference between failure and success may also become invisib.

Survivorship Bias - The Misconception: You should focus on the successful if you wish to become successful.  The Truth: When failure becomes invisible, the difference between failure and success may also become invisible

Department of War Math! Great talk by David McRaney. Illustration by Brad Clark

Confirmation Bias – It’s Not What We Think We Know That Counts » Interaction Design Foundation

Confirmation Bias – It’s Not What We Think We Know That Counts

5 Common Mental Errors That Sway You From Making Good Decisions – The Mission – Medium

“If one were to attempt to identify a single problematic aspect of human reasoning that deserves attention above all others, the confirmation bias would have to be among the candidates for consideration. Many have written about this bias, and it appears to be sufficiently strong and pervasive that one is led to wonder whether the bias, by itself, might account for a significant fraction of the disputes, altercations, and misunderstandings that occur among individuals, groups, and nations.”

YANSS Podcast 018 – How Benjamin Franklin dealt with haters « You Are Not So Smart

The Misconception: You should focus on the successful if you wish to become successful. The Truth: When failure becomes invisible, the difference between failure and success may also become invisib...

The Misconception: You should focus on the successful if you wish to become successful. The Truth: When failure becomes invisible, the difference between failure and success may also become invisib.

A question should be forming in the front of your brain at this point. If the top brass of the United States armed forces could make such a simple and dumb mistake while focused on avoiding simple and dumb mistakes, thanks to survivorship bias, does that mean survivorship bias is likely bungling many of your own day-to-day assumptions? The answer is, of course, yes. All the time.  Simply put, survivorship bias is your tendency to focus on survivors instead of whatever you would call a…

A question should be forming in the front of your brain at this point. If the top brass of the United States armed forces could make such a simple and dumb mistake while focused on avoiding simple and dumb mistakes, thanks to survivorship bias, does that mean survivorship bias is likely bungling many of your own day-to-day assumptions? The answer is, of course, yes. All the time. Simply put, survivorship bias is your tendency to focus on survivors instead of whatever you would call a…

Survivorship Bias and hiding failures

Survivorship Bias applies to Diet & Exercise, too ;

The Survivorship Bias convinces people that psychics are real

The Survivorship Bias convinces people that psychics are real

Which Halloween Costume Should You Wear? Ghostbusters but well maybe

Fitness Professionals Fail to Understand Survivorship Bias

Fitness Professionals Fail to Understand Survivorship Bias

Survivorship bias. We usually only see the winners. The losers tend to disappear from the record. Which is why all the fund managers in the papers seem to be giving great returns, or starting the next Whatsapp or Instagram seems like such a sure fire way to get rich. We don';t see all the funds, apps and entrepreneurs who never made it.

Survivorship bias: a symptom of our time. We see only the winners. The losers disappear from the record. Do you know the stories of the apps and entrepreneurs who never made it?

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